While model differences are ongoing between the NAM and GFS it is clear that on monday sufficient instability, shear and forcing will be in place for a severe weather event. If it verifies with the current Capes >3500 and EHI(0-3km)>+12 it may be one of the best tornado days we have seen since the May 22-23 2008 event or possibly even the May 4-5, 2007 Greensburg tornado outbreaks. Regardless of where the surface features end up I will be heading out the day before for an overnight at most likely AMA and chasing Monday!
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Friday, May 07, 2010
One of the best chase days in years!
While model differences are ongoing between the NAM and GFS it is clear that on monday sufficient instability, shear and forcing will be in place for a severe weather event. If it verifies with the current Capes >3500 and EHI(0-3km)>+12 it may be one of the best tornado days we have seen since the May 22-23 2008 event or possibly even the May 4-5, 2007 Greensburg tornado outbreaks. Regardless of where the surface features end up I will be heading out the day before for an overnight at most likely AMA and chasing Monday!
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