Goodbye Subie

Subie has officially been donated to Goodwill and served me well over 100,000 miles and many chases. Rest well Subie...

DVD: Carlson Chasers Season 2008!

Our 2008 DVD is now available for purchase! Includes 2 hours of non-stop severe weather footage!




Includes full chapters of:

March 2
March 30
April 23
May 22
May 23
May 25
May 29

As well as an additional half-hour of nothing but assorted weather footage from this year!

Purchasing information can be found by clicking the "Buy Now" link here!

No chasing this weekend - or is there?

Well as expected hurricane Norbert has cast it's influence into the e NM/w TX area and has all but cutoff all chances for the great kinematics to produce tornadoes. There will be a lot of rain and some marginally severe hail but not enough to warrant a trip down to the south. At the house here we are alternating between bright clear skies and low fog rolling in. This could be our first shot at some measurable snow for the 08-09 winter season!

Edit: SPC just put up a 5% tornado risk area for the w OK panhandle. I am seriously considering heading out the door and shooting down there. The vertical sheer today and tomorrow is amazing on the edge of the 110 kt 500mb jet!

Edit 2: Dann you said it - we need sunlight! Now it's 7:15pm MDT and we have a tornado watch for ne NM, must be driven entirely by wind dynamics. Wow STRONG TORNADOES possible:


DISCUSSION...SCTD TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG SSW-NNE
CONFLUENCE ZONE IN E CNTRL/SE NM. OTHER STORMS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
ALONG SIMILAR CONFLUENCE BAND IN MORE DEEPLY-MIXED ENVIRONMENT IN N
CNTRL/ NE NM. STRENGTH OF EXISTING WIND FIELD...LIKELIHOOD FOR SOME
BACKING/STRENGTHENING OF NEAR-SFC FLOW...AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
OVER ERN NM SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD BUT POSSIBLY STRONG
TORNADOES OVER THAT PART OF THE STATE AND IN ADJACENT PARTS OF TX.
HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH STORMS IN THE N
CNTRL/NE NM.

Texas Panhandle Weekend Chase?

SPC and now the ETA/NAM/WRF models are coming together for a possible weekend of chasing in the Texas Panhandle. Adequate 500mb positively tilted (would like to see negative tilt of course) trough plus 1000 J/kg Cape and helicities off the charts are coming together in the area I've highlighted in red. Haven't been down to the Amarillo house in awhile so this would be a good time to check in!

Possible chase on Saturday Oct 11th?

Well yesterday and today didn't have the dynamics to produce any notable severe weather but the GFS is hinting again at a possible chase day next weekend. We'll be watching the models and see if everything can line up for a possible chase day this saturday or sunday.

Possible chase on Monday Oct 6th?

Could this be the first real chase of the fall season? GFS and StormTrack threads are ripe with the possibilities of the breakdown of the summer ridge and a nice deep trough making it's way into the plains on Monday (and possibly Sunday)!