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Thursday, June 22, 2006

Chasing today in eastern CO

for later today low level flow east of the mtns will
generally be ese which will allow for deeper low level moisture to
remain in place. should see tstms develop by mid aftn in and near
the foothills and over the palmer divide with activity then moving
eastward onto the plains by late aftn into the early evening hours.
current wrf is focusing best activity over the palmer divide
eastward into elbert and lincoln counties by late aftn. sfc based
capes will probably be in the 1500=2000 j/kg range by mid aftn and
with 30-35 kt of wnw flow aloft combined with ese low level flow
should see some svr storms. although the main threat from the
storms would be large hail with increasing ese low level flow by
aftn may see a few tornadoes as well especially over ern elbert and
lincoln counties where low level flow is fcst to be the strongest.

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The Carlsons', Verne, Michael and Eric

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