Been watching Weds March 21st for a few days now and there's good news and okay news. The okay news is that the 500mb negative trough that I was seeing early on is now a much weaker cut-off low. The good news is that the return flow off the gulf is awesome! Nice theta-e air advection is all the way into SD and down into the TX panhandle with capes of 1000 - 1500 J/kg. This first day of what could be a weds/thurs/fri event would possibly be in western KS!
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