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Sunday, June 01, 2008

Isolated tornadoes possible in northeast CO today

Dewpoints are already up to 55 in Burlington, CO and in the low 50s up to the front range. Both SPC and Boulder WFO are mentioning tornadoes. SPC has singled out ne CO/w NE as a bullseye.
Edit: I opted not to chase today as it was clear the cirrus shield over CO kept temps down and no noteworthy storms developed. There was a tornado watch in e WY/w NE and one long lived supercell in the NE panhandle but only one funnel was reported.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... SURFACE LOW WILL BECOME BETTER DEFINED NEAR THE CO FRONT RANGE/SERN WY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SELY LOW LEVEL WINDS INCREASING LATE IN THE DAY/EVENING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO CREST BUILDING RIDGE AND INCREASE CONVECTION OVER PORTIONS OF WY/CO MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS ACTIVITY INTERACTS WITH 50+F SURFACE DEW POINTS AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY JUST EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN...STORMS SHOULD INCREASE WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR. SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL WILL BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...WITH ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT LIKELY INCREASING WHERE STRONGER SELY H85 FLOW DEVELOPS NEAR FAR NERN CO/WRN NEB. ACTIVITY SHOULD INCREASE/ORGANIZE INTO A CLUSTER/MCS INTO WRN NE/NERN CO/NWRN KS THIS EVENING WITH ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT SPREADING GENERALLY ESEWD OVERNIGHT.

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The Carlsons', Verne, Michael and Eric

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