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Monday, November 03, 2008

Severe weather a possibility for Weds!


Weds may see some severe weather in eastern Kansas on Weds. I am keeping an eye on the models and will decide on a go/no-go by Tuesday.

From the Wichita NWS:
WED & WED NIGHT:
THESE 2 PERIODS CONTINUE TO BE MOST VOLATILE OF THIS WEEK. WITH THE UPR
TROF ASSUMING SLIGHT NEGATIVE TILT AS IT CROSSES SRN ROCKIES UPR-LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY OVER THE KICT COUNTRY WED AFTERNOON.
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL THEREFORE BE IMPRESSIVE & THEREFORE SUPPORTIVE OF
A FEW FAST-MOVING SUPERCELLS AS SW 500MB FLOW LIKELY REACHING 50-70KTS.
MID-UPR LEVEL COLD ADVECTION IMPRESSIVE & WILL PROMOTE CONSIDERABLE
DESTABILIZATION. AS SUCH CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT SVR TSRA WILL
ERUPT OVER MUCH OF ERN HALF OF KS WED AFTERNOON & EVENING.

1 comment:

Dann Cianca said...

It will be a last minute call for me, but as of now (if models are holding), I'm about 75% go.

Dann.

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