SPC has come out with the Day 1 outlook now expecting the warm sector and surface flow back into Limon, CO! Moderate risk and 15% hatched tornado all the way to Denver. All Denver chasers "Fake your Death to Get Out East Today!"...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THE UKMET AND GFS MODELS ARE ALL SLOWER PLACING THIS FEATURE FROM A LOW BETWEEN PUB AND DEN THEN SEWD/SWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL PARTS OF THE OK/TX PANHANDLE WHICH IS THE PREFERRED LOCATION AT THIS TIME.
THE LOW/MID LEVEL SHEAR PROFILE INCREASING 0-3KM HELICITY TO AROUND 325 M2/S2 AND 0-1 KM HELICITY TO NEAR 150 M2/S2 SUFFICIENT MESOCYCLONE/TORNADO DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE CO/KS BORDER INTO SWRN KS. THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT A FEW DAMAGING TORNADOES COULD OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS GIVEN THE SUFFICIENT 0-1KM SHEAR AND LCL/LFC HEIGHTS BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500 M.
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