Moderate risk of severe for last day of May!

Waking up this morning at the Comfort Inn along I-40 on the south side of Amarillo, TX. There is alot of stratus this morning and temps are cool but we're starting to see breaks in the clouds which we like to see for destabilization of the atmosphere later on today. Today looks like a good chase day with a 10% tornado risk for the panhandles as well as a moderate risk for severe storms. I have seen most all of my 29 tornadoes this year in moderate risk outbreaks bringing my career tornado total to 79!

BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM OFF HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG NERN NM/TX BORDER INTO SERN CO WHERE LAPSE RATES IN EXCESS OF 8C/KM AND MLCAPES ABOVE 1000 J/KG WILL BE IN PLACE. STORMS WILL THEN INCREASE IN BOTH NUMBER AND INTENSITY AS THEY MOVE EWD INTO THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS WHERE A RAPIDLY DESTABILIZING AIR MASS WITH MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG WILL BE COMMON BY 00Z. EVENTUALLY THE SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO ONE OR MORE MCS/S. PRIOR TO MCS DEVELOPMENT ...SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES.