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Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Comparison of 3/28/07 to next monday


Some discussion about next monday's setup being similar to 3/28/07 and there are some interesting things to see. Basically the position and negative tilt of the trough at 500H is very close but the forecasted cape on the GFS is quite a bit less. Once this system gets within the range of the NAM then we'll be comparing apples to apples with the more cape friendly NAM model.

2 comments:

Steve Miller said...

Thanks for posting this! I was wondering what that looked like but was too lazy to go look myself!
Looking forward to how this will pan out!

Sean Mullins said...

Great post Verne! It does indeed look very similar to the 28th. We learned our lesson on that one and will be inclined to play the southern end of this system where a more southwesterly component to the H5 flow will allow for more discreet, chaseable storms.

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