Yesterday: Made the drive out from Denver after work and stayed overnight at the Russell, KS chase base. House in fine shape after the winter absence. Heat was off but no ill effects - must have happened recently during high wind event?
Today: Modest capes ahead of the triple point in se KS with an approaching upper trough in UT. If low clouds can clear in the area there will be a chance for tornadoes today!
SPC: CLOUDS WILL LIMIT WARM SECTOR SFC HEATING S OF STALLED FRONT. BUT IF SUFFICIENT BREAKS DO DEVELOP...A CONDITIONAL RISK WILL EXIST FOR ISOLD SFC-BASED STORMS NEAR THE FRONT/DRY LINE INTERSECTION ACROSS S CNTRL/SE KS EWD INTO WRN MO LATE THIS AFTN/EARLY THIS EVE. CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LVL HODOGRAPHS WILL ENLARGE AS LLJ INCREASES TO AROUND 50 KTS. THUS...ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS COULD DEVELOP LOW/MID LVL ROTATION...INCREASING THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.
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