Models differ on the timing of a trough coming in later this week and the quality of moisture return. It looks likely however that I might get my first west Texas trip this spring. I have already requested thursday and friday off from work and will be basing out of Amarillo for this one!Edit: The 18z NAM is making thursday look a lot like April 21, 2007 - the Cactus wedge and Tulia tornado day of almost exactly two years ago!
Edit again: The 18z GFS is hinting at an active period after this around Tues April 28th.
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When I saw the 18z 500mb chart with a SSW jet over the Amarillo area I immediately thought of the '07 Panhandle tornado outbreaks. The dew points look like April 21 as well. 55 dews on the caprock will work, but 60 sure would be nice.
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