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Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Tornadoes and large Hail Expected Today in TX


Yesterday the team intercepted a storm east of Graham, TX but it died as we arrived in the area.

Today there is better upper winds and an outflow boundary near San Angelo, TX will be our target.

WITH UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL JET MAX MOVING INTO SRN HIGH
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL ELY FLOW OF A STILL
MOIST AIRMASS...HAVE EXTENDED THE SLIGHT RISK WWD ACCORDINGLY
WCENTRAL TX. STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 60-7OKT ALONG WITH LOW
LEVEL VEERING PROFILES WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL POTENTIAL BY THIS
AFTERNOON AS AIRMASS DESTABILIZES. ADJUSTING MODEL SOUNDINGS FOR
EXPECTED SURFACE CONDITIONS RESULT IN MLCAPES TO AOA 2000 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON...MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADO/LARGE
HAIL POTENTIAL W CENTRAL TX.

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