Thursday Mar 30th Chase Potential

Logging a few of the AFD's arround the area regarding mid-late next weeks chase potential. I have to agree with KC that the unidirectional flow does indicate a squall line for all storms except for those near the surface low where winds may back from the east. Still pretty far away so will have to wait and see.

Oklahoma City, OK

THURSDAY APPEARS TO BE THE BEST DAY FOR STORMS WITH A DRYLINE SETUP AND STRONGER LIFT.

Topeka, KS AFD:
ON THURSDAY H5 TROUGH SWINGS OUT INTO THE PLAINS WITH DRY LINE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THURSDAY MORNING AND MOVING EAST INTO EASTERN KANSAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WITH STEEPING LAPSE RATES...FORCING...SHEAR...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL KEEP CURRENT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS GOING...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE.

Kansas City, KS AFD:
OTHERWISE THE FOCUS IS ON OUR CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.ECMWF/GFS/CANADIAN ALL STILL ADVERTISE A WAVE COMING OUT OF THE ROCKIES THURSDAY. WARM AIR ADVECTION AND MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE IN FULL SWING AHEAD OF THIS WAVE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GENERAL CONSENSUSIS THAT THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND SURFACE LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH KANSAS AND NEBRASKA...LEAVING US IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE WAVE THROUGH NOON FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BEST LIFT AHEAD OF THE WAVE LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY THURSDAYAFTERNOON AND EVENING. STILL...FEEL THAT WITH A 100+ KNOT JET EXPECTED TO BE DIGGING UNDER THE WAVE WEDNESDAY THE SYSTEM COULD SLOW UP...THUS PUSHING THE EVENT FROM A THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT EVENT TO A THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY EVENT.THE TRACK OF THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND SURFACE LOW INDICATES THATSHEAR PROFILES ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE UNIDIRECTIONAL...FROM THE SOUTHWEST. UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE FLUX COULD ALLOW FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AND SQUALL LINES...AS WELL AS TRAINING STORMS. IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK HAVE CONTINUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.